Poll shows 53% see third term for New Democracy as likely; limited momentum for Alexis Tsipras or Maria Karystianou-led parties
A new nationwide survey conducted by Interview for Politic places the ruling New Democracy (ND) firmly ahead in voting intention, while more than half of respondents consider a third consecutive term for the center-right party likely.
The poll highlights both the governing party’s dominance and the broader fluidity of the political landscape ahead of Greece’s next general election.
ND Leads by 14.4 Points in Voting Intention
In raw voting intention:
New Democracy: 26.4%
PASOK: 12%
Plefsi Eleftherias: 7.0%
Elliniki Lysi (Greek Solution): 6.4%
Communist Party of Greece (KKE): 6.0%
SYRIZA: 3.6%
Voice of Reason: 3.5%
MeRA25: 3.3%
Parties projected to remain below the parliamentary threshold include:
Democrats: 2.5%
NIKI: 1.2%
New Left: 1.0%
Undecided voters account for 16.7%, while 10.4% say they would choose another party.
Projected Election Result Estimate
When respondents were asked to estimate the likely election outcome, ND’s share increases to 31.6%, followed by:
PASOK: 13.8%
Plefsi Eleftherias: 8.3%
Elliniki Lysi: 7.4%
KKE: 7.0%
SYRIZA: 4.2%
MeRA25: 3.9%
Third Term Considered Likely – But No Clear Majority
While ND maintains a strong lead, 69% of respondents say an outright parliamentary majority for the party is unlikely. Only 30% consider self-sufficiency probable.
However, 53% believe a third consecutive ND-led government is very or fairly likely, compared with 45% who consider such an outcome unlikely.
Kyriakos Mitsotakis Leads in PM Suitability
In the question of who is most suitable for prime minister:
Kyriakos Mitsotakis: 31.5%
“No one”: 29.5%
Nikos Androulakis: 10%
Zoe Konstantopoulou: 7%
Dimitris Koutsoumpas: 5.8%
Kyriakos Velopoulos: 5%
Stefanos Kasselakis: 3.3%
Sokratis Famellos: 3%
In a hypothetical head-to-head between Mitsotakis and Tsipras, the current prime minister leads 38% to 28%, with 34% selecting neither.
Who Is Mitsotakis’ Toughest Opponent?
When asked who would pose the most difficult challenge to Mitsotakis:
33% say “no one”
17% cite Maria Karystianou
16% cite Alexis Tsipras
13% cite Nikos Androulakis
The findings suggest no consolidated alternative political pole has emerged.
Appetite for Political Change
Despite ND’s lead, 44% of respondents say they prefer political change even if it brings uncertainty. By contrast, 41% favor a government that ensures stability and security. Another 15% identify with neither option.
PASOK’s Limited Prospects
Only 12% believe PASOK could win an election—even by a narrow margin—while 86% consider such a scenario unlikely.
A potential alliance between left and center-left parties is also viewed skeptically:
21% see it as likely
50% say chances are small
25% consider it nonexistent
Low Momentum for Potential Tsipras or Karystianou Parties
The survey also examined the possibility of new political formations:
Maria Karystianou-led party
69.4%: Not at all likely to vote for it
11.1%: Slightly likely
9.9%: Very likely
8.1%: Fairly likely
Alexis Tsipras-led party
73.4%: Not at all likely
9.8%: Slightly likely
11.3%: Fairly likely
5.2%: Very likely
The data indicate high levels of resistance and limited electoral traction for either scenario at this stage.
The poll underscores the governing party’s structural advantage, while revealing voter fragmentation, significant undecided segments, and an ongoing tension between demands for stability and calls for political renewal.
